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The End of Easy Oil: Strategic Risk Implications of the U.S. Shale Plateau (2025–2035)

The End of Easy Oil: America's Shale Engine Is Stalling - the World Isn’t Ready for What Comes Next

U.S. shale is plateauing - and neither Trump, nor the global economy, are ready. As fossil fuel energy growth stalls, the foundations of trade and dollar dominance begin to crack. The consequences will be profound.

When Systems Crack: AI Rules, Trade Walls, and Seeds of the Next System

China asserts global AI norms. Trump reignites trade wars. Infrastructure falters and ecosystems burn - while Indigenous nations, farmers, and communities begin restoring the Earth.

AMOC and Southern Ocean Collapse Scenarios: Macro-Financial Risk in an Age of Planetary Instability

A Strategic Foresight Report for Investors in an Emerging Climate Risk Regime – AoT Planetary Intelligence Bulletin

Southern Ocean, AMOC, Climate Tipping and Civilization Collapse – A Planetary Intelligence Strategic Risk Assessment

Our planet’s vital oceanic circulation systems are undergoing dramatic and unprecedented transformations, signaling a potential shift towards a new, more dangerous climate state. This exclusive Strategic Risk Assessment goes deep into the profound implications.

Into the Maelstrom: Southern Ocean, AMOC, and the Onset of a Planetary Phase Shift

The AMOC may collapse by mid-century—and we may be seeing the first signs now. What happens next could reshape our civilisation.

The World’s Oil Cartel Blinks First in the Great Energy Transition – Planetary Intelligence Bulletin #3

A civilisational fulcrum is shifting beneath our feet. OPEC signalled its own unraveling. Simultaneously, Europe burned. And yet, amid the collapse, coherence begins to rise. Offshore wind. Battery recycling. Nature-backed finance. This is not a transition - it's a phase shift.

The World’s Oil Cartel Blinks First in the Great Energy Transition – Planetary Signals Brief #3

The world is shifting—irreversibly—from fossil-fuelled industrialism to planetary-scale regeneration. The question now is not whether the phase shift is real, but how quickly we learn to navigate it.

American Fossil Capitalism Doubles Down On Its Own Doom: Planetary Signal Brief #2 — 26 June to 3 July 2025

The competing dynamics of systemic re-entrenchment and emergent transformation have rarely been more sharply illustrated than this week.

American Fossil Capitalism Doubles Down On Its Own Doom - Planetary Intelligence Bulletin #2

The global system is currently experiencing a profound and accelerating planetary phase shift, a period defined not merely by change, but by a fundamental bifurcation.

The Coming End of Petropower - Planetary Signal Brief #1 – 25 June 2025

This Week’s Snapshot of Planetary Phase Shift Signals

The War That Signals the Coming End of Petropower - Planetary Intelligence Bulletin #1

This week’s headline is a sobering call – our fossil-fueled global system is brittle. Accelerating the shift to renewables and diplomacy isn’t just idealism; it’s the practical path to reduce the war and chaos that threaten everyday security.

Introducing the Planetary Intelligence Bulletin

We are no longer living through disconnected crises. We are participants—willing or not—in a planetary phase shift.

Why the Circular Economy is a Multi-Trillion Opportunity this Decade

The circular-economy market is not a slow-burn niche; it is riding the same mutually reinforcing disruption waves dismantling the industrial system. When viewed as one coupled system, it's a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity over the next decade

The Planetary Phase Shift Framework

Integrating the 'Crisis of Civilisation', collapse dynamics, and global transition theory to understand how we can make the next great leap in human evolution

Everything Must Go: How to Phase Out Fossil Capitalism

In Planet: Critical, Rachel Donald defends the thesis of 'no energy transition', saying my data 'is wonky'. But her approach makes major data errors, and obfuscates the potential for radical technological and economic transformation.

Climate Paradox vs Planetary Phase Shift: Resetting Climate Action with Systems Thinking

Tony Blair has declared that phasing out fossil fuels is "doomed to fail". But the hard data shows that what's really doomed is trying to keep fossil capitalism alive through carbon capture, AI and nuclear.

The Delusion of “No Energy Transition”: And How Renewables Can End Endless Energy Extraction

In popular book More and More and More, Jean-Baptiste Fressoz says the ‘energy transition’ is a myth as we consume more fossil fuels than ever. In doing so, he masks real, rapid energy transitions, past and present, all over the world: and obscures how renewables can help end the extraction economy

Tariffs, Turbulence and Transformation: Trump 2.0 and Planetary ‘Release’

The planetary phase shift framework helps us to see the new era of Trump's trade wars as part of the last stages in the life-cycle of our civilisation - and the precursor to a rapid new geopolitical and economic reordering of the international system.

The US is Collapsing Like the USSR – So What Comes Next

We are facing the end of 'the West'. Some of our best science shows the US empire is following the collapse-path of the USSR - but this is also the precursor to the emergence of a new life-cycle for civilisation.

Drill Baby Drill, Imperial Trump and the Collapse of American Energy Dominance

The era of American energy dominance is coming to an end. And Trumpocracy 2.0's efforts to revive it through imperial hubris will accelerate the decline - because alternative facts can't trump biophysical reality.

Trumpocracy 2.0, the Collapse of the American Dream and the Battle for the Next System

Elon Musk is launching an authoritarian coup within the 2nd Trump presidency. Seen through planetary phase shift theory, this is a backslide into collapse. The battle lines are drawn. All humanity holds dear is at stake. We fight back by recognising our true power.

Superabundance is Coming - but Only if Humanity Commits to Protecting the Planet

Superabundance is within reach. But ironically, the precondition to getting it is by giving it up. It sounds paradoxical, but this is actually the key to the next great leap in human evolution. I set this out with a rigorous scientific framework in my new paper on the Planetary Phase Shift.

The Musk-Trump Plan for Total American Collapse

A systems lens suggests a quarter of GDP could evaporate on a pathway to violent civil unrest, concentration camps, and genocidal violence that would be a free gift to Putin